ADS Releases Latest Santa Ana Wind Outlook for November 2019:
This outlook employs multiple statistical models and human analysis to make long-term Santa Ana wind season forecasts for Southern California. The models and analysis are built from 38 years of high resolution historical meteorological data. This outlook forecasts above normal, near normal or below normal Santa Ana wind day counts for each month and season.
The current prolonged Santa Ana event is a function of the high-pressure ridge that is sitting over California, said atmospheric scientist Scott Capps, the principal of Atmospheric Data Solutions. Source: Wind is the culprit in 2017’s horrific wildfire season – LA Times
Unfortunately, experts indicate we may see more of the same. Atmospheric Data Solutions states, “There will be an above normal number of Santa Ana wind days for both the December and the December through February periods.” Source: More Santa Ana winds coming, but new government website could save your life – Redlands Daily Facts
Weather models are at the heart of what Capps does. They are used both for forecasting and to recreate historical data. Increasingly however over the last decade machine learning (ML) has come to be applied in atmospheric science. Source: Raiders of the storm: The data science behind weather prediction | ZDNet